TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks individual player performance in a specific basketball game, focusing on how many times players steal the ball during the match. Bets are placed on whether certain players will achieve particular thresholds of steals, adding an additional layer of engagement beyond the game's final score.
All markets resolve based on the official steals recorded by specified players during the Philadelphia vs New York Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If a player is inactive or does not take the court, the market settles at a fair price. Once a player enters the game, resolution depends on whether they meet or exceed the specified steal thresholds (1+, 2+, or 3+). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of an event. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than sportsbook analysts, or that one venue has more accurate information. It’s important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total number of steals in the Philadelphia versus New York game will be over or under the specified amount. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. As more traders buy contracts representing a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of steals recorded in the game between Philadelphia and New York will be compared to the threshold established in the market. If the actual number of steals exceeds the threshold, the 'over' contracts will pay out; otherwise, the 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game data as reported by the NBA.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries to key defensive players on either Philadelphia or New York would likely have a significant impact, as steals are often correlated with individual player performance. Changes in team strategies, such as a greater emphasis on aggressive defense, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information regarding player availability or game conditions will be closely watched by traders.