TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether specific players achieve various thresholds of combined points, rebounds, and assists in a single basketball game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of performance for individual players, allowing participants to speculate on player output.
All markets resolve based on the official combined points, rebounds, and assists recorded by the specified player in the Philadelphia vs New York Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If a player is inactive or does not take the court, the market settles at a fair price. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows participants to collectively forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or varying interpretations of player performance and team dynamics. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final combined points, rebounds, and assists total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a dynamic market that constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined points, rebounds, and assists totals for players in the Philadelphia versus New York game will be sourced from official NBA statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the final total is equal to the contract price, and proportionally less if the actual total differs. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market's outcome based on official game data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance in recent games, particularly for key players on either team, could also impact trader sentiment. Even broader factors, such as coaching strategies or team morale, could play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of player capabilities or the expected game dynamics has the potential to move this market, as traders react to and incorporate new data into their predictions.