TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will emerge victorious in the second half of an upcoming professional basketball game between Philadelphia and New York. The outcome depends solely on performance during the latter half of the match, excluding any points scored in the first half. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies to the second half as played.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second half (including any overtime periods) of the designated Philadelphia versus New York professional basketball game scheduled for October 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to one of three possible outcomes: Philadelphia winning the second half, New York winning the second half, or neither team winning (a tie). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result of the second half as played. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Points from the first half are irrelevant for resolution, and the markets operate independently of any official league affiliations or endorsements.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more efficient market. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches, as both markets react to new developments and information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the event’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team in the second half of the Philadelphia vs New York game will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier games, or significant media coverage focusing on one team’s strengths or weaknesses, could also lead to price movements. Major announcements about team lineups closer to game time will likely have a substantial impact. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the second half has the potential to move this market.