TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New England will win its professional MLS soccer game against Philadelphia. Currently, Kalshi gives New England a 94.0% probability of winning, as defined by winning the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding any extra time or penalties. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Philadelphia vs New England professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the result of the game on the estimated resolution date of 2026-10-25.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Philadelphia vs New England professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Philadelphia market occurs if Philadelphia wins the match in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for New England occurs if New England wins in regulation. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regulation time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively reflect the result of this specific match and do not account for any post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can serve as a useful point of comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to new information than sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NFL Championship game. The winning team, as determined by the official game results, will dictate the settlement of contracts within this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key players on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes or significant strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the market. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or changes in public perception could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even weather forecasts leading up to the game could play a role, especially if conditions are expected to heavily favor one team’s playing style.