TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Philadelphia and Jacksonville, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible winning scenarios based on how many points separate the two teams at the end of the match, including ties. The result reflects which team wins and by how much.
The event determines the outcome of the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville professional football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, based on the point differential between the two teams at the end of the full game, including any overtime periods. If the game ends in a tie (0-point differential), it resolves to the 'Tie' outcome. If Jacksonville wins by any margin, outcomes are further divided into four categories: 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, and 15 or more points. Similarly, if Philadelphia wins, outcomes are categorized into 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, and 15 or more points. Each specific differential range corresponds to a distinct resolution outcome, ensuring precise classification of the game's result based on the winning margin. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the final score differential, with no additional conditions beyond the stated point differences.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust prices based on new information and their own analysis. You may find that this market’s prices offer a different perspective on the likely outcome than those offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights that aren't immediately apparent in conventional betting lines. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information access and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margin ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winning margin.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game, and the contract corresponding to the correct winning margin range will pay out to its holders. It’s important to note that the official NFL results are the sole determinant of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather forecasts for the game location, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis could all impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in team strategy or coaching decisions leading up to the game could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely game outcome has the potential to move this market significantly before Oct 11, 2026.