TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Carson Steele will score 2+ touchdowns in the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives this outcome a probability of 11.0%, while the market assigns a 1.0% probability to Carson Steele scoring 1+ touchdowns. The market will resolve based on whether Ameer Abdullah scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the official injury reports leading up to October 11, 2026, as player availability will be a key factor in determining the likely outcome.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players score the required number of touchdowns in the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdowns scored during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria for each participant's performance metrics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. It's common to see prediction markets move closer to the 'true' probability as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more efficient for widely followed events, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. Keep in mind that this market represents a distinct view from traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving you an idea of potential price slippage when executing trades.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of touchdowns scored in the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual number of touchdowns scored by both teams combined during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding key player injuries to either team's offense – specifically quarterbacks, wide receivers, or running backs – would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also impact scoring expectations. Late-breaking news about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could also shift the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and move the odds.