TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many total offensive yards each team achieves in a specific football game. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will surpass various yardage thresholds during the match.
The event evaluates whether Jacksonville or Philadelphia achieves specified offensive yardage thresholds (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+) in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team records the designated total offensive yards. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or risk appetite between prediction market participants and sportsbook operators. It's often insightful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by factors like injury reports, weather forecasts, and expert analysis, all incorporated into traders’ assessments of the likely total yardage achieved by both teams in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage achieved by both the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the relevant sporting authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Eagles would likely cause price fluctuations, as the availability of star quarterbacks or running backs directly affects offensive potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as adverse conditions often lead to lower passing yardage. Finally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could shift expectations and move the prices in this market.