TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in a football game between Philadelphia and Jacksonville, focusing on how many rushing yards each player accumulates. Participants can bet on whether a player will meet or exceed certain yardage thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual performance. The structure allows for dynamic returns tied directly to in-game statistics.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each centered on a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the designated player, with payouts capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 400 yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50; and if the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets resolve to Yes if the specified yardage conditions are met, otherwise they resolve to No. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the rushing yards ladder. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome. The goal is for prices to converge toward the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics from the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics for each player's rushing yards during the game. The market will determine which rushing yard ladder outcome was achieved based on these official statistics. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted according to the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis regarding the game's expected rushing performance could influence trading activity and move the prices in this market.