TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game between two teams. It focuses on whether the player achieves certain yardage milestones through both rushing and receiving plays during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the player's combined yardage in these two categories.
The event evaluates whether Bhayshul Tuten accumulates specified thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards in the Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Three separate markets correspond to thresholds of 80+, 105+, and 130+ combined yards. If Tuten is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once Tuten takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. The markets are independent, each resolving to 'Yes' only if Tuten meets or exceeds its specific yardage threshold.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides of a bet, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices reflect a more nuanced view, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player performance, injury reports, or strategic matchups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL statistics. This ensures an objective and transparent resolution process. The market will settle to 100, representing the final, verified outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Philadelphia or Jacksonville teams would likely cause a shift in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also impact the market. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also move the odds. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in expert analysis or social media sentiment, could influence trader behavior and, consequently, the prices in this market.