TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market allows participants to speculate on the receiving yard performance of specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Philadelphia and Jacksonville. Payouts are directly tied to the actual receiving yards each designated player accumulates during the match, offering a way to assess player performance expectations and potential outcomes.
The event consists of four separate scalar markets, each focusing on a different player’s receiving yards in the Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville NFL game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the specified player, with payouts capped at $1.00, equivalent to a maximum of 400 receiving yards. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring the total payout for both Yes and No contracts sums to $1.00 regardless of the outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; if the player records 200 receiving yards, Yes and No contracts each pay $0.50; and if the player records zero receiving yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. The markets operate independently, and each resolves based solely on the receiving yards of its designated player.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the prediction market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust prices based on real-time trading activity. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which receiving yardage tiers were achieved, and contracts will be settled accordingly. The market will determine which player exceeded their yardage ladder, and the corresponding payouts will be calculated based on the final prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also influence expectations for passing yardage. Additionally, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching strategies could lead to traders adjusting their positions. Finally, even public sentiment and large bets from influential traders can create momentum and move prices in this market.