TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming NFL matchup. It captures the dynamic nature of the game by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Philadelphia or Jacksonville will be the first team to score 21 points in their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, or if neither team will achieve this milestone. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: Philadelphia first to 21, Jacksonville first to 21, or Neither team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The outcome is determined solely by the scoring sequence during the full game, including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals trading based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding which team will reach 21 points first, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether either team will reach 21 points first. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, reaches 21 points first during the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scoring as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their chosen outcome occurred.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in expert analysis or public sentiment regarding the teams' chances of scoring quickly could drive price fluctuations. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as early turnovers or dominant offensive performances, would also rapidly move the market.