TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players from both teams achieve a rushing distance beyond set thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single rushing play during the match. The outcome depends on whether they surpass their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event evaluates multiple player-specific markets to determine if any listed player records a longest rush exceeding their designated yardage threshold in the Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different player and a unique yardage requirement. If the specified player achieves a rush longer than their threshold at any point during the game, the associated market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules clarify that if a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution is based on the longest rush they actually record. These provisions ensure that markets are resolved fairly, accounting for player participation and in-game developments while emphasizing the longest single rushing play for each individual player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market benefits from continuous trading and diverse perspectives. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—and as bettors trade, the prices on Kalshi can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player having the longest rush. As more people buy a contract for a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the resolution. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winner of this market. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi after the game concludes and the official statistics are published.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player usage or game strategy from coaches could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway market sentiment and cause prices to fluctuate on Kalshi.