TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they throw. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match. The outcome depends purely on the players' ability to connect with receivers for touchdowns through the air.
All markets in this event evaluate whether Trevor Lawrence or Jalen Hurts achieve specified minimum numbers of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 5) in the Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named quarterback records at least the exact number of passing touchdowns stated in the market's title during the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria regardless of the touchdown threshold being wagered upon.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The current price reflects the highest buy order and the lowest sell order, creating a constantly updating market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are attempting to predict the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game, and the price of each outcome will fluctuate based on supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by all quarterbacks in the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed.