TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified participants achieve certain fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) of Philadelphia vs Jacksonville scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the designated participant exceeds their respective fantasy point threshold. Players who do not participate or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at market expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. Scoring includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams contributions, and accounts for negative impacts such as interceptions, missed kicks, and fumbles.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial line setting. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines more slowly to news and changing information than this market, where traders react quickly. While sportsbooks focus on the probability of a binary outcome (win/loss), this market focuses on cumulative fantasy points, making a direct comparison complex. However, observing discrepancies between the two can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential ranges of total fantasy points scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The goal is to accurately forecast the final fantasy point total for the specified players in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for the players involved in the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game will be sourced from official fantasy football scoring providers. The market will settle to the actual cumulative fantasy points scored by those players, as reported by those providers, determining which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on the latest information.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games, or adjustments in player roles within their respective teams, are also likely to impact prices. Furthermore, general sentiment and analysis from fantasy football experts can drive trading volume and price movements, as traders react to evolving opinions about player potential and game strategies. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the dynamics of this market.