TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:31 AM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming football match between Philadelphia and Jacksonville, this event checks whether both teams manage to score points in every quarter of regular time. The outcome depends solely on whether each quarter ends with both sides having put points on the board, regardless of the overall game result.
If Philadelphia and Jacksonville both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of the event. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the possible outcomes for this market, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether both teams will score in every quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Philadelphia and Jacksonville teams score at least once in each of the four quarters of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if this condition is met. The market will then settle based on whether the outcome occurred as predicted by the contract holders.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding key player injuries for either team, particularly quarterbacks or primary offensive threats, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting patterns, could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.