TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around whether both Philadelphia and Jacksonville score points specifically in the fourth quarter of regulation time. Only points scored during this quarter count, with overtime points excluded, and all types of scoring plays are considered for determining the outcome.
If Philadelphia and Jacksonville both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or even behavioral biases among traders versus sportsbook operators. It's common to see prediction markets offer insights that diverge from initial sportsbook lines, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' contract price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of the event occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100, where 100 means the market believes the event is certain to happen. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, following the completion of the Philadelphia versus Jacksonville game. The outcome will be determined by whether both teams have scored at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting of the game’s final score, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution. Traders holding the 'Yes' contract will receive a payout if both teams score, while those with the 'No' contract will be paid out if at least one team fails to score in the fourth quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Philadelphia or Jacksonville would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or offensive/defensive adjustments could move the market. Finally, general public perception and betting trends observed in sportsbooks may also indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi as traders react to broader market signals.