TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:44 AM EST
Kalshi
The outcome hinges on whether Philadelphia and Jacksonville both score in the second quarter of their matchup. Any scoring play—touchdowns, field goals, or safeties—counts, provided it happens during regular-time action of that specific quarter.
If Philadelphia and Jacksonville both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Philadelphia vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, than sportsbooks. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the event’s potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability that both the Jaguars and Eagles will score in the 2nd quarter, as perceived by traders on the platform. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The price can fluctuate significantly based on news, analysis, and overall trading activity. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded and inaccurate ones are penalized.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars score at least one point during the 2nd quarter of the game. Official game statistics from a reputable sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The market will close and payouts will be calculated based on whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is confirmed by these sources. Traders will receive their winnings shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team—particularly quarterbacks, wide receivers, or running backs—would be a major catalyst. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring potential. Significant news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or game-day conditions could lead to price adjustments as traders react to the new data and reassess the likelihood of both teams scoring in the 2nd quarter.