TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether either team will exceed specific point thresholds in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different scoring benchmark that must be surpassed for the bet to succeed.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Philadelphia or Jacksonville in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the designated team scores more than the stated points in the first half, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Thresholds range from modest scores like over 2.5 points to high benchmarks such as over 30.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The governing body's official rules apply to the game, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league, with all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing the differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing beliefs about whether the Jaguars or Eagles will exceed specific point totals in the first half. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Jacksonville over 13.5 points, though probabilities are subject to change based on trading activity and new information. The volume traded indicates the level of conviction behind each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half point totals for both the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Philadelphia Eagles are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether each team exceeded their respective point totals. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining which contracts settle in the money.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the Jaguars or Eagles would undoubtedly have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s style of play. Unexpected lineup changes or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.