TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$98,814,403
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,908,251
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,605,027,424
484,805
Markets across
36,640
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,879
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Chicago team will win their professional football game against Philadelphia. Currently, Kalshi gives Chicago a 90.0% probability of winning, while Philadelphia is at 10.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the game, as determined by the game’s outcome if played on September 28, 2026, per the resolution source. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled match date of September 29, 2026, to allow for official results to be reported.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the professional football game between Philadelphia and Chicago scheduled for September 28, 2026. If Chicago wins, the Chicago market resolves to Yes, and the Philadelphia market resolves to No. Conversely, if Philadelphia wins, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes, and the Chicago market resolves to No. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to $0.50. Postponements are handled as follows: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injuries or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge with or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to find prediction markets more accurate, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a unique perspective on the potential results of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Philadelphia vs Chicago game, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which team is declared the winner based on the final score. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the odds at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Phillies or Chicago would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact pitching or hitting, could also move the market. Furthermore, major announcements about starting pitchers, team strategies, or even significant changes in public sentiment – reflected in polls or expert analysis – could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market on Kalshi.