TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market explores different winning margins for Philadelphia and Charlotte in their MLS soccer encounter. The outcomes hinge on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Philadelphia vs Charlotte professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four markets exist: Philadelphia winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and Charlotte winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but sometimes diverging based on information or perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on injuries, team morale, or even less quantifiable factors. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, incorporating a wider range of insights than traditional sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out based on the final point spread of the game. The more a particular outcome is favored, the higher the price of its corresponding contract.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Philadelphia versus Charlotte game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Philadelphia or Charlotte teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team lineups, coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed sources or large-volume traders could create momentum in a particular direction. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, particularly if they offer a compelling argument for one team over the other.