TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.1b
24H VOL:
$337,672,170
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,360,784
421,272
Markets across
40,138
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,437
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
In the same Flyers-Sabres matchup, additional markets focus on whether Buffalo wins by a margin exceeding specific goal differentials. The outcome hinges entirely on the difference between the two teams' final scores.
These markets resolve based on whether Buffalo wins by more than specified goal margins in the Philadelphia vs Buffalo NHL game scheduled for Oct 21, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets stay open and resolve using the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts often predict outcomes, but this market allows you to directly express and profit from your own forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the Philadelphia team covering the spread. As more people buy contracts predicting a cover, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and is constantly adjusting based on new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Philadelphia team covers the spread against Buffalo, as determined by the official game results. The final point spread will be verified against trusted sports data providers to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Philadelphia or Buffalo teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly.