TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. The result depends on which team secures a victory in the contest. If the game does not occur as scheduled due to postponement or cancellation, special conditions apply to determine the final resolution.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Philadelphia and Boston scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Boston wins, the Boston market resolves to Yes; if Philadelphia wins, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks establish odds based on statistical models and public betting patterns, whereas this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd and allows traders to react quickly to new information or changing perceptions. While there can be correlation, differences often emerge due to the unique dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can buy contracts to express a belief that an outcome will happen, or sell contracts if they believe it won’t. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Philadelphia vs Boston matchup as officially recorded. The platform will utilize publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Philadelphia or Boston teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can influence trader behavior and drive price movements. Major upsets in other related games or tournaments could also indirectly affect how traders assess the probabilities within this market.