TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, there can be initial discrepancies, with sportsbooks sometimes setting lines based on early information or branding. It’s common to see the prediction market odds converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price reflects the collective belief of all participants on Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the second half of the Philadelphia Union versus Real Salt Lake match. The official score at the end of the second half will determine the winning outcome. Any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures will not be considered; only the score at the end of regulation time in the second half matters for this market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Union or Real Salt Lake would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any tactical announcements from the coaches, or even significant momentum shifts observed during the first half of the match, could prompt traders to adjust their positions, impacting the price of contracts in this market.