TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular result is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the collective intelligence of the market weighs in on the probability of each scenario.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market's price is determined by supply and demand; if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price rises, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team scores more goals in the second half of the Philadelphia Union versus Real Salt Lake match. The final score will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, reflecting the actual on-field performance during the designated period.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Union or Real Salt Lake would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a strong advantage for one team could drive increased trading activity and alter the implied probabilities within this market.