TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of users on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more people participate, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event approaches.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team to score first, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information and sentiment, reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. Currently, the top outcome on Predict is Real Salt Lake to score first.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team scores the first goal in the Philadelphia Union versus Real Salt Lake match. If no goal is scored by either team, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored'. The platform relies on publicly available and verifiable information to determine the winning outcome, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official match results to understand the final determination.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Union or Real Salt Lake would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and influencing scoring opportunities. Finally, any significant public announcements or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances could affect trader sentiment and drive price changes in this market.