TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Philadelphia Union or Charlotte FC, will win the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match, or if the second half will end in a draw. Resolution is based on goals scored in the second half plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than Charlotte FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Charlotte FC" if Charlotte FC score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than Charlotte FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Charlotte FC" if Charlotte FC score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of events, and comparing them can provide a more well-rounded assessment of the potential result of this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Philadelphia Union to win the second half?, while Predict leans toward Charlotte FC to win the second half?. These differences in perceived probabilities are expressed through the prices offered on each platform. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can influence price discovery, with higher volume generally leading to more efficient pricing. Different risk appetites among traders on each platform can also contribute to these divergences.