TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.9b
24H VOL:
$84,685,924
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,100,123
337,636
Markets across
33,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,273
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
NRFI
- Polymarket
NRFI - Polymarket
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 27
Vol.
$80.3k
·
Resolves Sep 2, 2026
Closed: Aug 26, 4:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners scheduled for August 26, 2026. Markets will resolve based on the game's outcome, including win conditions, tie scenarios, cancellations, and specific inning performance.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 26 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 26 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-26 20:10 UTC: If the Philadelphia Phillies win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the Seattle Mariners win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
On Polymarket and Opinion, pricing mechanisms and user bases vary, creating natural gaps. Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might have more retail traders reacting quickly to news, while the other could see slower, larger positions from whales. This can push their odds in different directions, especially when the game’s momentum shifts or starting lineups change.
Injuries, weather delays, and pitcher changes can all shift this market as the game approaches. Key starters entering or exiting the rotation, plus any last-minute lineup updates, often drive rapid price swings. Traders will also watch early-inning performance live, since that can set the tone for how the rest of the contest unfolds.