TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Philadelphia Eagles versus Jacksonville Jaguars professional football game will exceed 26.5. Currently, the “over” outcome—that more than 26.5 points will be scored—is trading at 95.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the resolution source: If PHI Eagles and JAC Jaguars collectively score more than 41.5 points in the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Keep a close eye on the game itself as it’s scheduled to be played on October 11, 2026, to see if the teams surpass the point threshold.
Multiple markets exist for the point differential in the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Markets are divided into two categories: those where the Jaguars win by a specified margin and those where the Eagles win by a specified margin. For any market labeled "JAC Jaguars wins by over X points," if the Jaguars win by more than the specified threshold (X), the market resolves to Yes. Conversely, for any market labeled "PHI Eagles wins by over X points," if the Eagles win by more than the specified threshold (X), the market resolves to Yes. The thresholds range from 1.5 to 20.5 points for both teams. The secondary rule across all markets states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners. Each market’s outcome is determined solely by whether the actual point differential exceeds the market’s specified threshold in the appropriate direction.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources when evaluating potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates similarly to a stock exchange, where prices are determined by supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final total points and trading contracts accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Eagles-Jaguars game, as officially recorded by the relevant sports league, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the combined points scored by both teams during the full game, including any overtime periods. Traders will be able to view the official result and the resulting payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the Eagles-Jaguars total points market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that could impact scoring. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive schemes could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking information about player availability or performance could shift trader sentiment. Any major developments leading up to the game have the potential to alter the perceived likelihood of different total point outcomes.