TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Philadelphia Eagles will win by more than 2.5 points against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Currently, the probability of the Eagles winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 49.0%, while the probability of them winning by over 1.5 points is also 49.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final point differential will determine the market’s resolution.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Philadelphia Eagles versus Jacksonville Jaguars game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the respective margin indicated. For markets where the Jaguars win, thresholds range from over 1.5 points to over 20.5 points. For markets where the Eagles win, thresholds range from over 1.5 points to over 14.5 points. All markets are independent, and each resolves solely based on its specified condition. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasts, particularly closer to the event, as they aggregate a wider range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a common point of comparison for evaluating this market’s pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The goal is to accurately forecast the final point difference between the Eagles and the Jaguars, and the market price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in points scored by the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars, and contracts predicting the correct spread will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected news related to team strategy or coaching decisions might also shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause prices to adjust rapidly.