TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a specific football game. Bettors predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the designated Pro Football game, with overtime points explicitly excluded. Each market has a different threshold: if the combined score exceeds the specified number (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome depends entirely on in-game performance during the final quarter, with all secondary rules consistently applying across markets to ensure uniform evaluation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that might not be fully priced into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, which can influence the perceived probability of different outcomes and cause a difference in pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final 4th quarter total. As more people buy contracts anticipating a higher score, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the potential points total.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official final score of the 4th quarter of the Eagles-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor for payout. All contracts will be settled based on this official result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see their positions settled automatically on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as the game progresses, real-time scoring and play-calling will drive significant movement in this market until its resolution.