TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the third quarter of a specific NFL game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars. It highlights the importance of short-term performance within a single quarter rather than the overall game outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the scoring dynamics during that specific 15-minute segment of play.
If Jacksonville wins the 3rd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 3rd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely winner of the third quarter. However, both aim to predict the same event, and you may find they converge as the game approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – either the Eagles or the Jaguars winning the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely winner. The closer we get to the game, the more responsive the prices will be to late-breaking news or changes in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official NFL game results will determine which team was leading after the third quarter. The team ahead at that point will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even general public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the game.