TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Jacksonville Jaguars or Philadelphia Eagles specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled game on October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by either team to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team to exceed in point difference: for Jacksonville to win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or for Philadelphia to win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these thresholds. If the actual point differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, and as more traders express their views. The difference can highlight where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating certain factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to probabilities as new information becomes available, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Eagles-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point difference at the end of the third quarter, as reported by official game statistics. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread, based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market settles.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first half of the game could also lead to adjustments in trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting a sudden change in collective belief.