TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between two professional teams. The outcome depends solely on the performance during that quarter, not the final game result. If both teams score equally in the quarter, the result is considered a tie.
If Jacksonville wins the 2nd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 2nd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to, or place more weight on, information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. This can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about which team will win the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the collective market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if your prediction is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Eagles versus Jaguars game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or Jaguars would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected news about team morale or coaching decisions might also cause fluctuations. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could move this market as traders adjust their positions.