TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Philadelphia Eagles versus the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter of their scheduled game on October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets for the Jaguars winning by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, and markets for the Eagles winning by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the winning team exceeds the specified threshold by even a single point, the corresponding market resolves as 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves as 'No'. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs and trade on them. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value than available at sportsbooks. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Eagles-Jaguars 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust to reflect the collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the 2nd quarter spread in the Eagles-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established during the second quarter will be compared to the contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine winning and losing contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Eagles or Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as large volume trades on Kalshi, could all contribute to shifts in the market price.