TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will achieve a specific point differential advantage over the opposing team in the second half of an upcoming football game, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars exclusively during the second half of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, including any overtime periods. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory; if the actual margin exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the second half and overtime count toward determining the outcome. All markets operate independently, allowing for varied betting options on the same game outcome depending on the required point spread.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and each has its own strengths and weaknesses in forecasting the result of the Eagles-Jaguars second half.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Eagles-Jaguars game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the direction and magnitude of the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's value at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trading decisions.