TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses solely on the scoring performance during the initial 15 minutes of the match, ignoring the final result of the full game. The outcome depends entirely on which team has the higher point total in that specific segment.
If Jacksonville wins the 1st Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 1st Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. You may find that the odds on Kalshi align with sportsbook lines, but often, differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. These discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning the first quarter rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing opinions, creating a real-time assessment of the potential first quarter winner.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team wins the first quarter of the Eagles-Jaguars game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify this information against official sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all outstanding contracts. Trading will cease once the first quarter concludes and the official result is reported.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or Jaguars would certainly have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in news articles and social media discussions, can also play a role. Finally, any significant pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.