TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming NFL game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars. It focuses solely on the first half performance, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends on which team scores more points before halftime.
If Jacksonville wins the 1st Half of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 1st Half of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to, or place higher value on, information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to shifts relative to sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—either the Eagles or the Jaguars winning the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The goal is for the contract prices to accurately represent the likelihood of each team winning at halftime.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Eagles-Jaguars game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions on Kalshi after the official halftime score is confirmed. The platform will then process all winning and losing contracts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Eagles or the Jaguars would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, even without any external news events.