TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose different point totals to speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed specific benchmarks.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams in the first half of the specified football game. For any given market, if the combined score of the Philadelphia Eagles and the Jacksonville Jaguars exceeds the stated threshold during the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half of play, with no consideration for the second half or overtime scoring. Each market operates independently, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity for the same game segment.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, attempting to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, risk tolerance, and the incentives of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability that the 'yes' outcome (the total points scored in the first half will be over the implied line) will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate predictions risk losing capital. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the first half of the Eagles versus Jaguars game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the source of truth for settlement. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially verified, and any winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Eagles or Jaguars would likely cause significant movement, as this impacts expected scoring. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.