TOTAL VOLUME:
$138.5b
24H VOL:
$114,060,923
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,511,311,155
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,557,428,866
473,619
Markets across
36,594
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Chicago Bears will win by more than 1.5 points against the Philadelphia Eagles in their upcoming pro football game. Currently, the probability of the Bears winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 55.0%. The market will resolve based on the final point differential of the game, as determined by the official result if the Philadelphia Eagles win by more than 4.5 points in the PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of September 28, 2026, on September 29, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential from the Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears Pro Football game scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold; if the winning team exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. For markets where the Philadelphia Eagles win, the condition is met if their victory margin surpasses the stated points (ranging from 1.5 to over 20.5 points). Conversely, for markets where the Chicago Bears win, the condition is satisfied if their victory margin exceeds the specified points (ranging from 1.5 to over 14.5 points). All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading in this market. It’s common to see convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer, but differences can still occur due to varying levels of information and market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Eagles versus Bears game. The market will settle based on whether the Eagles win by more or less than the spread established at the time of resolution. Any adjustments to the official score after the game will be considered in determining the final outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Eagles or the Bears would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Major news stories impacting team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, leading to price movements in this market.