TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time adjustments based on traders’ actions. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular golfer’s chances. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities, especially as new information becomes available during the tournament. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each golfer’s probability of leading after the third round. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular golfer, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which golfer is officially recorded as the leader after the completion of the third round of the World Wide Technology Championship. The official PGA Tour leaderboard will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to monitor the tournament’s progress leading up to the resolution date to understand potential catalysts.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. A golfer’s performance during the second round, particularly a strong or weak showing, will likely cause shifts in the odds. Weather conditions are also a major catalyst; challenging weather could favor certain players over others. Any news regarding a golfer’s health or potential withdrawal from the tournament would also have a substantial effect. Unexpected pairings for the third round could also influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 8, 2026.