TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:20h:15m
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This prediction market asks users to forecast which golfer will lead after the second round of the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship. Resolution is based on the lowest cumulative score to par, with tiebreakers defined by subsequent round scores, eagles, birdies, bogeys, and finally, alphabetical order of last name.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
All markets resolve based on the leader at the end of Round 2 of the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship. If a single golfer holds the sole lead, that market resolves to Yes for that participant. If multiple participants are tied for the lead, Yes positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while No positions receive the remainder of the stake pool. The tournament organizer explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the PGA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into public and expert sentiment surrounding the World Wide Technology Championship leader.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which influences price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on each platform can create discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket favors Tony Finau at 99%, while Kalshi leans toward Christiaan Bezuidenhout. These differences in price reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the varying beliefs of their respective traders regarding the World Wide Technology Championship.
This market resolves around Nov 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leader after the second round of the World Wide Technology Championship will determine the outcome of this market. The final leaderboard, as officially published by the PGA Tour, will serve as the source of truth. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing the market to reach a final price reflecting the collective prediction of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi regarding the second-round leader.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by contenders during the first round of the World Wide Technology Championship will likely cause significant price movements. Unexpected weather conditions or course adjustments could also impact the perceived probabilities of different players leading after the second round. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on player performance is key to understanding shifts in volume of $1,281 and price action.