TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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PGA Tour: World Wide Technology Championship First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead PGA Tour's first round?

Total volume:
$2,529
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$5
0%
Open interest:
$2,529
0%

Jordan L. Smith

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 21, 2026

Time left: 18d:18h:58m

Jordan L. Smith leads at the end of Round 1

9%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 8.9¢ buys you 1,124 shares | Odds: 9% Total Payout: $1,124 | Net Profit: $1,024 Multiplier: 11.24x | ROI: 1,024% APY not meaningful 18 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jordan L. Smith

Trade
9%
Yes 8.9¢No 100¢
8.9¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Jordan L. Smith

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.1%
Yes 8.9¢No 100¢
Avg: 8.9¢Max: 8.9¢
kalshi

Hao-Tong Li

Trade
9%
Yes 9.1¢No 100¢
9.1¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Hao-Tong Li

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9%
Yes 9.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 9.1¢Max: 9.1¢
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

Trade
5%
Yes 4.9¢No 100¢
4.9¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Ryan Gerard

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.4%
Yes 4.9¢No 100¢
Avg: 4.9¢Max: 4.9¢
kalshi

Ben Griffin

Trade
5%
Yes 5.3¢No 100¢
5.3¢
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
$1,041
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Ben Griffin

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.2%
Yes 5.3¢No 100¢
Avg: 5.3¢Max: 5.3¢
kalshi

Ben Kohles

Trade
5%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Ben Kohles

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.9%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Benjamin James

Trade
5%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Ben James

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.5%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 100¢
3.7¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Jackson Koivun

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.9%
Yes 3.7¢No 100¢
Avg: 3.7¢Max: 3.7¢
kalshi

Sami Valimaki

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 100¢
1.9¢
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
$591
2w 4d 18h
Active
kalshi

Garrick Higgo

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 100¢
1.4¢
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$601
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Garrick Higgo

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.4%
Yes 1.4¢No 100¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 1.4¢
kalshi

Brice Garnett

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
2w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Brice Garnett

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Zach Bauchou

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
kalshi

Zachary Bauchou

Trade
N/A
N/A
8.2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 8.2¢Max: 8.2¢
polymarket

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
kalshi

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Zac Blair

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 58m
Active
kalshi

Zac Blair

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 25 of 216

Description

This prediction group asks which golfer will lead after the first round of the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship. Resolution depends on the lowest cumulative score to par, with tiebreakers based on back nine score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, and then alphabetical order of last name.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define resolution based on the lowest score to par after Round 1, with identical tiebreaker procedures and cancellation criteria.Primary resolution logic: Official PGA Tour results (pgatour.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The player with the lowest cumulative score to par after Round 1 wins.
  • Tiebreaker 1: Lower score on the back 9 of Round 1.
  • Tiebreaker 2: More eagles recorded in the tournament.
  • Tiebreaker 3: More birdies recorded in the tournament.
  • Tiebreaker 4: Fewer bogeys recorded in the tournament.
  • Tiebreaker 5: Alphabetical order of last name.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation/Postponement: If the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship is cancelled or postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
  • Incomplete Round: If a player does not complete the first round for any reason, they are ineligible to win.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of Round 1 of the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship and the official publication of results by the PGA Tour.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified golfer is the sole leader after Round 1 of the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship. If multiple participants share the top score, "Yes" positions receive $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while "No" positions receive the remainder of the contract value. The markets are independent and operate under these standardized resolution rules, with no official affiliation to the PGA or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates data from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, to provide a consensus view on who will lead after the first round of the World Wide Technology Championship. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $2,529, with $2,529 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard tracks the probability of various golfers leading, as indicated by the odds on each platform, and presents a unified picture of market sentiment. This allows users to see where there is agreement – or disagreement – among different prediction markets regarding the likely first-round leader.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there's significant volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often offer promotional incentives. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the probabilities involved in determining the first-round leader of the World Wide Technology Championship.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and the specific rules governing each platform. Polymarket currently favors Will Jordan L. Smith lead the 2026 World Wide Technology Championship following the first round? at 99.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Jordan L. Smith leads at the end of Round 1 at 9.1%. These differences can also arise from differing levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from random fluctuations in trading activity. Furthermore, the fee structures and trading limits on each platform can influence price discovery and lead to discrepancies in the odds for the World Wide Technology Championship leader.

This market resolves around Nov 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer leading after the first round of the World Wide Technology Championship, as officially reported by the PGA Tour, will determine the outcome of this market. Trading will cease once the official results are available, and the winning outcome will be determined based on the official leaderboard. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 22, 2026. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in weather conditions at the tournament location, or unexpected performance in practice rounds could all shift the odds. Major announcements about a golfer’s form or equipment changes could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and move the market, as could significant media coverage focusing on a particular player’s chances of leading after the first round of the World Wide Technology Championship.