TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open Third Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead PGA Tour VidantaWorld Mexico Open Round 3?

Volume:
$252,981

Andrew Novak

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 7:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Andrew Novak

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,140
N/A
N/A
$31,636
1w 4d 20h
Yes
polymarket

Andrew Novak

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$22,027
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Greyserman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,804
N/A
N/A
$25,804
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Max Greyserman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kihei Akina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,589
N/A
N/A
$21,760
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Kihei Akina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mackenzie Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,792
N/A
N/A
$20,257
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Mackenzie Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthieu Pavon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,413
N/A
N/A
$18,657
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Matthieu Pavon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Suber

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,884
N/A
N/A
$18,884
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Jackson Suber

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Griffin

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,855
N/A
N/A
$12,163
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Ben Griffin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler Phillips

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,056
N/A
N/A
$13,056
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Chandler Phillips

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Doug Ghim

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,015
N/A
N/A
$12,896
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Doug Ghim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kensei Hirata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,492
N/A
N/A
$11,492
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Kensei Hirata

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,482
N/A
N/A
$7,482
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,137
N/A
N/A
$3,979
1w 4d 20h
No
polymarket

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marco Penge

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,835
N/A
N/A
$3,817
1w 4d 20h
No
Total markets: 25 of 223

Description

This prediction group concerns the leader after the third round of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open golf tournament. Markets ask whether a specific player will be in the lead, or if 'Any Other Player' will lead.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same criteria for determining the Round 3 leader, including tie-breaking procedures and cancellation conditions.Primary resolution logic: Official PGA Tour results (https://www.pgatour.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • The player with the lowest cumulative score to par after Round 3 is the leader.
  • Tie-breaking proceeds through Round 3 score, Round 2 score, Round 1 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, and then alphabetical order by last name.
  • If the tournament is cancelled or postponed after November 14, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open is cancelled or postponed after November 14, 2026, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
  • Tie After Multiple Rounds: If a tie persists after comparing scores from Round 3, Round 2, and Round 1, the tie will be broken by the number of eagles, then birdies, then bogeys, and finally by alphabetical order of last names.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of Round 3 of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open, and no later than November 15, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official PGA Tour leaderboard following Round 3 of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open. If the specified golfer is the sole leader, "Yes" positions win their full stake. If multiple players share the lead, "Yes" payouts are divided equally among all tied leaders (calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied participants, rounded down to the nearest cent), while "No" positions receive the remainder of the pool. All markets are independent — the resolution of one does not affect others — and all payouts are subject to standard platform disclaimers regarding unaffiliation with official tournament organizers.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard tracks the Polymarket and Kalshi markets for who will lead the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open after the third round. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $252,981, with $248,115 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to view a consensus view of predictions, though prices and leading outcomes can differ between Polymarket and Kalshi. The dashboard provides a quick way to compare probabilities and trading activity for the Mexico Open leader market, offering insights into how forecasters are evaluating each player’s chances.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Player performance in the early rounds of the tournament will be a major driver, with strong showings from certain golfers increasing their probability of leading after the third round. Unexpected withdrawals due to injury or illness could also shift the odds. Weather conditions during the tournament, particularly wind and rain, can impact scoring and therefore influence the perceived chances of different players. Any news regarding player form, course conditions, or potential rule changes could also move this market.