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PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open Hole in One?
kalshi
polymarket

PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open Hole in One?

Total volume:
$4,935
Volume 24h:
$1,809
382%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$3,868
60%

2+ holes-in-one

 - Kalshi

2+ holes-in-one - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 12d:05h:31m

Will there be 2+ holes-in-one at the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?

10%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 10¢ buys you 1,000 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $1,000 | Net Profit: $900 Multiplier: 10.00x | ROI: 900% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ holes-in-one

Trade
10%
7%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$2,789
25%
N/A
$1,854
1w 5d 5h
Active
kalshi

3+ holes-in-one

Trade
1%
5%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$728
0.06%
N/A
$713
1w 5d 5h
Active
kalshi

1+ holes-in-one

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,418
N/A
N/A
$1,301
1w 5d 5h
Yes
polymarket

PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open Hole in One?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 4

Description

This group asks whether any golfer will achieve a hole-in-one during the official rounds of the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open. The market resolves to 'Yes' if at least one hole-in-one is recorded, and 'No' otherwise. Tournament cancellations or postponements beyond a specific date impact resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers markets with varying hole-in-one thresholds (1, 2, or 3+), while Polymarket focuses solely on whether at least one hole-in-one is recorded.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as it directly addresses the core question of whether any hole-in-one occurs. Kalshi's markets introduce unnecessary complexity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' if any player records a hole-in-one during official tournament rounds. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open."
  • Kalshi: Offers markets based on 1, 2, or 3+ hole-in-ones. "If the golfers in the tournament record at least 1 hole-in-one...then the market resolves to Yes. If the golfers in the tournament record at least 2 holes-in-one...then the market resolves to Yes. If the golfers in the tournament record at least 3 holes-in-one...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open is cancelled, or postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

If the golfers in the tournament record at least 1 hole-in-one in the VidantaWorld Mexico Open originally scheduled to start on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the golfers in the tournament record at least 2 holes-in-one in the VidantaWorld Mexico Open originally scheduled to start on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the golfers in the tournament record at least 3 holes-in-one in the VidantaWorld Mexico Open originally scheduled to start on Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on whether at least one hole-in-one will occur during the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open. Currently, the aggregate volume across both platforms is $4,935, with $1,822 traded in the last 24 hours. The Polymarket price reflects a high probability of a hole-in-one, while Kalshi also shows significant trading activity in this market. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving as the event approaches and compare the collective wisdom of traders across different platforms regarding the Mexico Open hole-in-one market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on golfer statistics and course difficulty, this market incorporates a wider range of factors as traders buy and sell contracts, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional methods.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by whether at least one hole-in-one is officially recorded during the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament. Official tournament results will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official PGA Tour communications for the final results and confirmation of the market’s settlement.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 15, 2026. Changes in golfer participation due to injury or withdrawal, particularly among players known for their accuracy, could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at VidantaWorld, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the probability of a hole-in-one. Significant news regarding course modifications or changes to the tournament format might also impact trader sentiment. Any developments that alter the perceived difficulty of achieving a hole-in-one could lead to price movements.