TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$58,293,221

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,341,650,213

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,106,172,586

310,405

Markets across

30,104

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,274

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Time left: 05d:16h:08m

Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

50%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the 2026 PGA Tour Championship, a major golf tournament. Markets exist for specific listed players winning the event, as well as a catch-all 'Other' option for unlisted players or ties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the official PGA Tour winner declaration with consistent tie-breaking and elimination rules.Primary resolution logic: PGA Tour official results website (https://www.pgatour.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves according to the player officially declared as the winner by PGA Tour rules
  • If a listed player is eliminated before tournament conclusion, that market resolves 'No'
  • The 'Other' market resolves 'Yes' if an unlisted player wins or if no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET
  • In case of a tie with multiple announced winners, the market resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Winner Declared: If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET, the 'Other' market resolves 'Yes' and all player-specific markets resolve 'No'
  • Multiple Winners Announced: When multiple winners are announced, resolution goes to the player with the alphabetically first last name
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official PGA Tour declaration of the tournament winner, but no later than September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

If Na Rin An wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pajaree Anannarukarn wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aditi Ashok wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saki Baba wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenny Bae wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laetitia Beck wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ana Belac wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Borge wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Boutier wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Helen Briem wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicole Broch Estrup wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ashleigh Buhai wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Briana Chacon wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hye Jin Choi wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn Choi wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chella Choi wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carlota Ciganda wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hailee Cooper wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Allisen Corpuz wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lauren Coughlin wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Olivia Cowan wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniela Darquea wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karis Davidson wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manon De Roey wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Perrine Delacour wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brianna Do wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amanda Doherty wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gemma Dryburgh wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lindy Duncan wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jodi Ewart Shadoff wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laney Frye wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ayaka Furue wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isi Gabsa wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sofia Garcia wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linn Grant wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hannah Green wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie Green wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nataliya Guseva wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia Hall wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erika Hara wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nasa Hataoka wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooke Henderson wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Esther Henseleit wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wei-Ling Hsu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hull wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If You Min Hwang wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jin Hee Im wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aki Iwai wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chizzy Iwai wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiwon Jeon wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zoe Jiamanukoonkit wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Soo Bin Joo wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Moriya Jutanugarn wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ariya Jutanugarn wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If MinJi Kang wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minami Katsu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gurleen Kaur wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Megan Khang wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hyo Joo Kim wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grace Kim wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If A Lim Kim wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Kim wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gina Kim wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sei Young Kim wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frida Kinhult wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lydia Ko wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jin Young Ko wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nanna Koerstz Madsen wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nelly Korda wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jennifer Kupcho wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephanie Kyriacou wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maude-Aimee Leblanc wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mi Hyang Lee wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dongeun Lee wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrea Lee wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minjee Lee wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Somi Lee wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeong Eun Lee5 wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucy Li wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ingrid Lindblad wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yu Liu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mary Liu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yan Liu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gaby Lopez wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julia Lopez Ramirez wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Katie Lu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Polly Mack wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paula Martin Sampedro wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooke Matthews wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolina Melgrati wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgane Metraux wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benedetta Moresco wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nastasia Nadaud wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuna Nishimura wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yealimi Noh wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Anna Nordqvist wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryann O'Toole wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Natasha Andrea Oon wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexa Pano wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kum Kang Park wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emily Pedersen wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pornanong Phatlum wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cassie Porter wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jessica Porvasnik wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paula Reto wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mimi Rhodes wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiara Romero wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pauline Roussin-Bouchard wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gabriela Ruffels wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hae-Ran Ryu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mao Saigo wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lizette Salas wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuka Saso wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sophia Schubert wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hinako Shibuno wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenny Shin wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Smyth wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linnea Strom wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rio Takeda wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiara Tamburlini wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patty Tavatanakit wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carla Tejedo Mulet wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeeno Thitikul wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lexi Thompson wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Suvichaya Vinijchaitham wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lilia Vu wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chanettee Wannasaen wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dewi Weber wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yana Wilson wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lottie Woad wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miyu Yamashita wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jing Yan wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amy Yang wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ruoning Yin wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Yin wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ina Yoon wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuri Yoshida wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arpichaya Yubol wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Weiwei Zhang wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rose Zhang wins the FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the TOUR Championship winner market dashboard aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each golfer winning the tournament. It displays the current consensus and liquidity for the winner market, letting users compare outlooks and spot shifts in sentiment. The dashboard updates continuously as bets are placed, reflecting the latest expectations for who might claim the title at Aug 30, 2026. This centralized view simplifies tracking the dynamics of this market as the event approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more professional traders who favor Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 TOUR Championship? at 50.0%, while the other could reflect a broader, more casual audience leaning toward Will Nelly Korda win the FM Championship? at 28.0%. Additionally, volume disparities—$0 versus $0—can amplify price swings, especially for less-traded outcomes, making the two markets diverge temporarily.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official tournament declarations and widely covered results, ensuring transparency and agreement across platforms. No internal platform mechanisms or proprietary data are used—only publicly confirmed facts from trusted news and sports authorities. Traders can monitor reputable golf news sources as the event nears to anticipate the final settlement.