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24H VOL:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between PFK CSKA Sofia and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Sofia" if PFK CSKA Sofia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between PFK CSKA Sofia and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Sofia" if PFK CSKA Sofia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or sentiment within the prediction market. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by individuals trading based on their own beliefs. Any differences between the two can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, though such opportunities are often short-lived as the markets adjust. It's common to see prediction markets offer slightly different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team—PFK CSKA Sofia or AS Monaco FC—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either PFK CSKA Sofia or AS Monaco FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected news regarding key players, such as a sudden illness, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 15, 2026.