TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bulgaria Parva Liga game between PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad and FC Arda Kardzhali, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad" if PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad score more goals than FC Arda Kardzhali in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad and FC Arda Kardzhali score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Arda Kardzhali" if FC Arda Kardzhali score more goals than PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bulgaria Parva Liga game between PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad and FC Arda Kardzhali, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad" if PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad score more goals than FC Arda Kardzhali in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad and FC Arda Kardzhali score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Arda Kardzhali" if FC Arda Kardzhali score more goals than PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ludogorets vs Arda second half. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price climbs, indicating increased confidence. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the match between Ludogorets and Arda will be the determining factor. The platform will then verify the official result against established sources to finalize the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching strategy for either Ludogorets or Arda could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even referee announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could trigger shifts in the market, as others react to their actions and adjust their own positions based on this new information.