TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Bulgaria Parva Liga game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between PFC Cherno More Varna and POFC Botev Vratsa.
This event is for the upcoming Bulgaria Parva Liga game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between PFC Cherno More Varna and POFC Botev Vratsa.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's important to note that prediction markets often incorporate more information and have lower overhead, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on the platform, offering a dynamic and real-time probability assessment of the Bulgarian First League match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the PFC Cherno More Varna versus POFC Botev Vratsa match as reported by official sporting authorities. The final score and declared winner will determine the settlement of shares in this market, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift probabilities. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics could impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, especially if they are expected to heavily influence the style of play. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.