TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili?

Volume:
$318,337

Decision / Draw / No Contest

 - Kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,085
N/A
N/A
$3,927
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Petr Yan to win in Round 4

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,014
N/A
N/A
$61,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 4

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,651
N/A
N/A
$46,940
Settled
No
kalshi

Petr Yan to win in Round 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,776
N/A
N/A
$40,519
Settled
No
kalshi

Petr Yan to win in Round 3

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,596
N/A
N/A
$33,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,547
N/A
N/A
$28,372
Settled
No
kalshi

Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,072
N/A
N/A
$21,267
Settled
No
kalshi

Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 1

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,917
N/A
N/A
$17,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Petr Yan to win in Round 1

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,260
N/A
N/A
$15,797
Settled
No
kalshi

Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 2

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,028
N/A
N/A
$16,592
Settled
No
kalshi

Petr Yan to win in Round 2

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,391
N/A
N/A
$12,551
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market focuses on predicting whether a specific fighter will achieve a decisive victory within a particular round of an upcoming mixed martial arts bout. Outcomes are determined by the method and timing of the win, with certain conditions applying to draws or incomplete fights.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on whether Petr Yan or Merab Dvalishvili secures a knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ) victory within a specified round of their scheduled fight on October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific round (Rounds 1 through 5) for each fighter, with a separate market for outcomes decided by split decision, draw, or no contest across the full duration of the fight. A technical decision is explicitly treated as a decision for settlement purposes and does not count as a round-specific win. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, and the fight must proceed as originally scheduled for these rules to apply. The markets are not endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Yan vs. Dvalishvili fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing each potential outcome – which round the fight will end in, or if it goes the distance. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $318,110, with $279,382 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting as the fight approaches.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It's common to see the probabilities implied by this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event date nears and more information becomes available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, offering a unique perspective compared to fixed-odds betting.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the round in which the fight officially ends, as declared by the relevant athletic commission, will determine the winning contract. If the fight does not end within the scheduled rounds, the 'Goes to Decision' outcome will be considered the winner. The resolution will be based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could lead to reassessments of each fighter's chances. As the fight date approaches, even minor updates could cause noticeable movements in the prices of contracts within this market.