TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 12:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants are interested in predicting which team will win or if the match will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Peterborough vs Notts professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Peterborough or Notts occurs only if the respective team secures a victory within regulation time; a tied score after regulation time results in a 'Yes' for the Tie outcome. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve at a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting or a disagreement in expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the market aggregates the opinions of all participants to arrive at a collective forecast for the Peterborough vs Notts match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Peterborough vs Notts match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly documented on Kalshi following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders might indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Peterborough vs Notts match.